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Weather

It was expected that the hurricane season would be active. What occurred?

An intermission in hurricanes across the Atlantic has people wondering where the predicted storms are.
Updated 2024-Sep-28 11:00

A satellite image of the Earth.

A satellite image of the Earth.

Here is what needs to happen in order to increase the frequency of hurricanes. Thirteen named storms developed in the unprecedented 2020 season following the official halfway mark on Sept.
In that year nine hurricanes formed with six becoming major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher. For a similar situation this year the storm track in Africa must shift as heavy rains indicate a potentially active Atlantic hurricane season.
Yet recently the line of storm systems in Africa has shifted northward causing each storm to pass over a cooler section of the Atlantic Ocean near northern Mauritania where the conditions are less favorable for hurricane development.
If the storm line moves slightly south over Senegal and shifts west towards warm ocean temperatures there may be increased activity.
Additionally warm air above the usual hurricane formation area is another inhibiting factor. The warmer air above could be making the air near the surface more stable preventing the warm moist air from the ocean surface from forming thunderstorms as it usually would by capping their growth.
The air which has been warmed will start to cool down as autumn arrives. The initial weeks of August experienced ongoing storms with Debby causing heavy rainfall in Florida and the Carolinas.
Next activity came to a stop. On Wednesday there were four potential issues spanning from North America to Africa across the sea.

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